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TA: Bitcoin Grinds Lower, Why BTC Bears Aim Larger Decline

Bitcoin 2021/07/20 05:08 by Aayush Jindal

Bitcoin price extended its decline below the $31,200 support against the US Dollar. BTC remains at a risk of a larger decline below the $30,000 support zone.

  • Bitcoin remains in a bearish zone and it even broke the $31,000 support zone.
  • The price is now trading well below $32,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
  • There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near $31,550 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair is likely to accelerate lower below the $30,500 and $30,000 levels in the near term.

Bitcoin Price Extends Losses

Bitcoin price remains in a downtrend and it is now trading well below the $33,000 pivot zone. BTC extended its decline below the $31,200 support zone and it settled well below the 100 hourly simple moving average.

The price extended its decline and it even traded below $30,650. A low is formed near $30,445 and the price is now consolidating losses. It corrected a few points above the $30,500 level. However, there was no proper follow through above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent drop from the $31,901 swing high to $30,445 low.

An immediate resistance on the upside is near the $31,200 level (the recent breakdown zone). It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent drop from the $31,901 swing high to $30,445 low.

The next key resistance is near the $31,500 level. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near $31,550 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The trend line resistance at $31,500 is also close to the 100 hourly SMA.

Bitcoin Price

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

A close above the trend line resistance could initiate a decent recovery above $32,000. Besides, a proper break above the $32,000 level may push the price towards $33,000.

More Losses in BTC?

If bitcoin fails to recover above the $31,200 and $31,500 resistance levels, there is a risk of more losses. An initial support on the downside is near the $30,500 level.

The first major support is now near the $30,200 zone. The main support is now near the $30,000 level. A close below the $30,000 level could spark a steady decline in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is slowly gaining pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now well below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $30,500, followed by $30,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $31,200, $31,500 and $32,000.

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