HOME CATEGORIES WRITE AND EARN 🔍
CATEGORIES WRITE AND EARN MORE

CRYPTO NEWS

Your favorite crypto news blog

How the Upcoming Bitcoin Halving Compares to Previous Cycles

Bitcoin 2019/12/02 11:40 by Graham Smith
How the Upcoming Bitcoin Halving Compares to Previous Cycles

For those standing very close to the crypto charts, it might be easy to get discouraged by the gloomy nature of recent markets. However, new comparisons of the current halving cycle to those in the past have emerged and might put some wind back into the sails of traders, hodlers, and cryptocurrency enthusiasts in general.

Also Read: As Halving Interest Grows, Spectators Discuss Miner Hoards and Capitulation

Miners Unfazed as Halving Approaches

Though crypto prices took a big dip in November, with BTC falling 30% from a high of $9,486 to a bottom of around $6,575, hash rates on both the BTC and BCH chains have held relatively steady as the next block reward halving approaches. Data also points to miners hoarding coins in view of the upcoming subsidy reduction, as the event is generally viewed as price favorable. In combination with these factors, new analysis has emerged which might suggest that in spite of the recent bearish climate, things might be more on track than previously supposed.

Source: https://twitter.com/ChartsBtc/status/1199458935591198721

Comparing Halving Cycles

The image above aligns the block reward halving points of three cycles (the latter half of pre-halving and the first half of post-halving), with the three cycles anchored at a common line of 100% of the cycle low. The first two cycles which are completed, and the pre-halving phase of the current cycle are displayed. Interestingly, the movements in the latter half cycles appear to follow a similar trend. As creator of the graphic, @Chartsbtc, states on their Twitter post:

Each cycle is 210,000 blocks (~4 years). This chart starts half way through the cycle and goes half way into the next cycle. This is my attempt to show the lows prior to halving and the peaks post halving but keep everything centered around the halving.

The graphic is compelling, and has many hoping for great moves price-wise in 2020 and beyond. Discussing the methodology of creating the graphic further, @Chartsbtc explains why the green price action line does not touch the 100% cycle low level: “The low was a intraday price and the chart only plots the closing prices to the nearest 105th block. I wish I actually had prices per block.” They further note that viewers should “Keep in mind that each cycle peak will likely be lower than the prior one.” Even so, should the trend repeat BTC could see a post-halving peak around $80,000. Still, this is all speculation, and other factors must be kept in mind.

Into 2020

With the Bitcoin Core halving estimated to be taking place in mid-May, 2020, and the Bitcoin Cash halving to likely occur a month earlier, speculation of course abounds. Other factors playing into market perception and possibly price, such as proliferating development surrounding the BCH chain, and a trend of businesses dropping BTC as a payment method due to fees and congestion (not to mention an overall shift in attitude in the BTC community from user to mere hodler), could also have unexpected affects. If the projections of the above halving data are correct, however, everyone may be in for an interesting ride in 2020.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or as a recommendation, endorsement, or sponsorship of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.


Images courtesy of Shutterstock, fair use.


Did you know you can buy and sell BCH privately using our noncustodial, peer-to-peer Local Bitcoin Cash trading platform? The local.Bitcoin.com marketplace has thousands of participants from all around the world trading BCH right now. And if you need a bitcoin wallet to securely store your coins, you can download one from us here.

The post How the Upcoming Bitcoin Halving Compares to Previous Cycles appeared first on Bitcoin News.

0 Like(s)



You should also read...

Crypto 17/11/19 19:00 by Jamie Redman
Market Update: Crypto Prices Improve After 3-Week Downtrend
Digital currency markets have been trending downward in a triangular pattern since the 40% spike that took place on October 25. Following the three-week downtrend, cryptocurrency traders are quietly p...
Read More
Bitcoin 19/11/19 05:00 by Martin Young
For First Time Ever, Bitcoin Set to go Into 2020 Halving in Bearish Action
As bitcoin prices slide even further this week analysts have been looking at the bigger picture which is growing increasingly bearish. Previous approaches to BTC halving have been bullish but the oppo...
Read More
Bitcoin 21/11/19 12:30 by Christine Vasileva
Bitcoin Price Forces Small Miners Out, Untagged Wallets Dump $20M
Miners made the biggest withdrawal of funds in 2019, just as Bitcoin price was fighting its last to keep above $8,000. The accelerated selling of rewards may look like an episode of miners capitulatin...
Read More
Crypto 25/11/19 15:45 by Jamie Redman
Market Update: Uncertainty Strikes Crypto Traders After Week-Long Downtrend
Three days ago, cryptocurrency markets were holding foundational support after coins plunged 2-14% and the entire cryptoconomy dropped below $200 billion. Crypto prices continued to slide in a bearish...
Read More
Mining 01/12/19 21:45 by Jamie Redman
Despite Bitcoin’s Price Drop, High-Powered Mining Rigs Still Profit
Since BTC prices slid below the $8K price range, mining operations have been making less revenue. On Sunday, December 1, only 13 mining rigs with an average electricity cost of $0.12 per kWh are profi...
Read More